(Ed. note: This is a special guest blog by the husband.)
Mercifully, the Canes season has ended and once again, we're looking at a long summer. For the fourth straight year, this team has failed to make the playoffs and the sad part is, you can't even say they underachieved. This team is stuck in the worst kind of cycle: not good enough to make the playoffs and not bad enough to get a franchise-changing pick.
The frustrating thing with this team is that before these seasons start, we know how it's going to go (especially as it relates to the defense). This team has some top offensive talent, but the depth is spotty. The goaltending is pretty good but with a D that bad, they're one Ward injury away from disaster. The D is so awful it may truly be the worst group in the league. I watch a lot of hockey including watching every other team multiple times and it really is true - this corps is awful.
The worst part of all of this is that they play well enough on the strength of their elite players that they're close to making the playoffs every year. After every season, it's always "If not for injuries at bad times, we'd have made it" or "that really rough October or November really sunk us - the rest of the time we were one of the best teams in the league". The problem is it's the same song after every season. It's almost as if the goal is to get the 8th seed every year, which obviously doesn't leave much room for error. With realignment next year, being slightly better than mediocre isn't going to cut it.
This leads to what has to be done going forward. They're basically screwed if they can't make trades, and to be honest, who wants half these guys? They only have like 7 million to spend to get to the cap next year and financially, the team is probably hamstrung a bit by not making the playoffs this year so who knows if the plan is to spend up to the cap. They have a bunch of free agents that they probably won't re-sign (like LaRose and Brent) but even as they fill them with guys from Charlotte - who haven't exactly tore it up in the NHL - that's still money tied up. I guess they keep Peters but he's just an AHL goalie. How many chances does he get up here where he gives up 5 goals a game? Sure, he has played well at times but overall, he has 1 good game, 1 absolute stinker and 2 mediocre games. Is that what you want when your starter is out for 6 weeks? This year was tough because they had so many games crammed in which exacerbated the problem but even a regular year Peters wasn't going to help. I'd rather see Ellis stick around but he's not great either. I know it's tough to find a cheap backup that's competent but why do they strike out every year?
So now we get to the blue line. I don't know what you do there because they are an absolute disaster but I think you have to blow it up. Trade McBain if anyone will take him and if not, maybe buy him out. Let Corvo and Sanguinetti go and don't look back (though I will say he wasn't half-bad this year). Bergeron seemed to help the PP but I would let him go as well. You basically build around Faulk, hope Pitkanen is healthy (which is a huge question mark) and let Harrison be on the third pairing. I would bring in Murphy - which I'm sure will happen - and give Keegan Lowe a chance as well. How could Lowe be worse than McBain even if he struggles? I don't know if any options are out there in free agency that would play here but sign someone different just to mix it up. I'd also like to see Gleason gone. He's been terrible for several years now and it's getting worse. For what he's supposed to be to the Canes, he falls way short.
I also think that they should trade Skinner while he has value. His ceiling may not be as high as we think and with every hit potentially knocking him out for weeks at a time, there's too much risk for a guy that will making $5M next year. I doubt they could get value for him though so this may not be possible.
Sadly, I think they need to blow this up. Trade anyone outside of the Staals that you can and rebuild. The Flyers traded away a bunch of their good players when they had to change up the mix and while they screwed the pooch with their goalie, I think it was the right move. I can't take spending all of this money only to realize 2 months in that this team is going nowhere. Even if they made the playoffs, they're a threat to get bounced early since the talent gap is so great. Before I could complain that they weren't spending money, but I can't do that next year - now, it's just that they fell in love with their own guys and they spent money unwisely. I know they'll suck for a couple of years but they can then stockpile some cheap talent and actually set themselves up for the future.
The last part is that this team needs better scouting. Their drafts have been poor and haven't produced much outside of good AHL players. It doesn't help that they have like one guy in all of Europe and a bunch of the time he's in Raleigh. If they invested more on their scouting, they may find players deeper in the draft that would help them make the playoffs, increase ticket sales and ultimately pay for the additional scouts many times over. Whatever they do now isn't working so it's time to change directions.
Ultimately, with the new division they're in and the players they have locked up, I think they're going to be mediocre for years to come. This is not a team that is set up to compete for a championship so unless your business strategy is to rely on luck, I don't get it. If they miss the playoffs again, they're going to be bleeding fans especially as they raise ticket prices. Any city only really cares when the team wins but it's especially tough given that they won the Cup and couldn't turn that into something more. I've seen apathy take hold of an NHL city before and it wasn't a very happy ending for me and I don't want to see that happen here too.